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#1 2019-05-23 06:32:23

liny195
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Registered: 2010-10-12
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The Cubs and Rox have history

Nick Markakis Jersey , now."WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Chicago Cubs recapsChicago Cubs minor leaguesChicago Cubs essaysChicago Cubs game threadsWrigley Field renovationsFull archiveLibrary Bleed Cubbie Blue Community GuidelinesCurrent time in ChicagoBCB Specials & Site InfoWinter 2019 music threadsCubs StoriesScheduleRosterStatsYahoo Cubs newsYahoo Cubs team pageYahoo Cubs reportYahoo Cubs depth chartYahoo Cubs transactionsYahoo Cubs photosOdds Shop About Masthead Community Guidelines StubHub 鉁昁now your enemyKnow your enemy: Colorado RockiesThe Cubs and Rox have history, now.CSTShareTweetShareShareKnow your enemy: Colorado RockiesRick Scuteri-USA TODAY SportsOver the last couple of decades, the Cubs and Rockies have played each other just a handful of times a year. Before 2018, the most memorable Cubs/Rockies game was probably the John Baker Game from 2014. Overall in the regular season, the teams have just about evenly split: Cubs 100 wins, Rockies 98.Now, the Cubs have a playoff loss to the Rockies to avenge, last year's 13-inning Wild Card Game defeat. That game brought into high focus the issue that damaged the Cubs most in the 2018 season's last two months, a lack of offense.The Rockies, of course, don't have that issue. They generally lead the National League in runs scored, or are close. Last year they scored 780 runs, second in the league to the Dodgers and 19 more than the Cubs.And pretty much the entire Rox offense returns. They have added former Cub Daniel Murphy to their lineup. He'll play first base for them, as they are going to try Ryan McMahon or Garrett Hampson from their system at second, now that DJ LeMahieu has departed via free agency. LeMahieu was one of the best defenders in baseball at second base and while McMahon or Hampson might be competent, the Rox will not have as good defense on the right side of the infield.Offensively elsewhere, the Rockies have great hitters everywhere: Trevor Story Babe Ruth Jersey , Nolan Arenado, Charlie Blackmon and David Dahl, the latter someone who might have a breakout season offensively in 2019 after being one of Colorado's best prospects for the last few years. The signing of Arenado to an eight-year extension Tuesday takes that worry away from the team.Ian Desmond is being moved to center field this year with Blackmon moving to left. That, as the linked article says, will be a challenge.Pitching is always a challenge in Coors Field, and last year was no exception. Rockies pitchers allowed 745 runs last year. Only the Padres, Reds and Marlins allowed more, and obviously the Rockies have been in the wild-card game the last two years because of their hitting.Still. Kyle Freeland is one of the best pitchers in the National League. A seventh-place finish in N.L. Rookie of the Year voting led to a fourth-place finish in N.L. Cy Young voting in 2018, and a 2.85 season ERA? Pitching in THAT ballpark? Incredible, and Freeland actually pitched better at home (2.40 ERA, 15 starts) than on the road (3.23 ERA, 18 starts). Freeland is one of only two qualifying starters in Rockies history (Ubaldo Jimenez, 2010) to have a season ERA below 3.45.The rest of the Rockies rotation is competent, although pretty young. A year's worth of experience in a pennant race, and a division series in 2018, should help them. Former Cubs closer Wade Davis, signed to a four-year deal by the Rox last winter http://www.bravesfanproshop.com/authentic-nick-markakis-jersey , led the league in saves with 43, although he also had five blown saves and five outings in which he allowed three or more runs, likely a Coors Field effect (4.73 ERA at home, 3.55 on the road).The Rockies should be a good team again this year and could challenge for the N.L. West title.The Cubs and Rockies will play their entire season series within a nine-day period, one fewer day than the Cubs and D-backs. Fortunately, this year that period is in June. Over the nine seasons from 2010-18, the Cubs played road series in Denver in four of those nine years, leading to multiple postponements and games played in very cold weather.This year: Wrigley Field June 4-5-6, Coors Field June 10-11-12. Last year, season-long MLB player props went under nearly 70% of the time.Injuries accounted for a large portion of these, but even if you exclude them unders still hit at nearly a 63% rate.If you've been following any of my player prop picks for the upcoming season, you may have noticed something … I'm quite fond of unders. Yes, my secret is out. You caught me red-handed. But why, pray tell?2019 MLB Player Prop Mega List, More Value PicksRead nowWell, as was the case with football, MLB season-long player props went under at a very high rate last year. And I'm not talking around 55%.I'm talking about a 311-141-5 record. And Freddie Freeman Jersey , if we count ERA overs as unders since they are the negative side in terms of player performance, we get 313-139-5 — a 69.2% rate. Furthermore, every single individual category had players underperforming.Let's think about why, though.These props all essentially assume that a player stays healthy for the vast majority of the season. As you can see, I counted up the unders that hit thanks to injuries and there were quite a few.I counted them as injuries if a player played only a small portion of the season or missed a significant amount of time and appeared as though he would've gone over or came close to the over/under had he not been injured.If you take out props impacted by injuries, unders still went 236-141-5 (62.6%).I think that the books don't account for the fact that baseball statistics are volatile. Either that or they know that bettors aren't going to account for it. They may know that these type of props frequently go under, but they like it that way because they make a profit anyway.As is the case with all types of bets, I'd expect that these overs are more popular than the unders, and perhaps by a substantial margin. Bettors like rooting for points, runs, home runs, etc. on a day-by-day basis so it would make sense that they'd like rooting for them throughout the course of the season.I have only this one-year sample size to go off of, but I'd be shocked if unders don't hit more often than overs again this year. Maybe they don't push for 70%, but with the help of injuries, they should still reach 55%.

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